The European crisis: in the footsteps of German rule (part 2)

В previous article in this series  we have reviewed several crisis situations that have a strong impact on the stability of most European EU member states. Single currency - is a very serious economic tool for pressure, and the fact that it is governed primarily by Germany gives this country many advantages over European (and not only) countries.

EU, Germany

The birth of a European leader

A little historical background. Germany as a country is relatively recentIt was originally a country made up of a huge number of principalities, each of which was essentially a separate state with its own economy, currency and even language (the German language in its current form is German). Originally, it was a country consisting of a huge number of principalities, each of which was, in fact, a separate state with its own economy, currency, and even language (German in its current form is a synthetic language).

In the nineteenth century, the idea of a unified state emerged, primarily as a the project of military force, but with a geopolitical and economic bias. The point is that at that time there were several large countries in Europe, close in their cultural and economic structure and similar in their interests. First of all, it was Prussia (which included most of the Baltics), as well as Austria-Hungary, which was a southeastern empire. By uniting all these states into one, a huge, economically and politically powerful hegemonic state would appear on the European stage.

However, this idea was not destined to come true, and the states remained 2 - Germany, united with Prussia in opposition to France, and Austria-Hungary, which became the most zealous ally of the new Germany.

It would seem that to what can such an association lead? Well, it's because at this very time. Germany has begun a long preparatory work to consolidate its position in Europewhich ultimately led to the First World War. Despite the defeat, Germany was well aware of its potential, which was again realized in World War II.

The idea of the superiority of race perfectly underpinned the idea that the economically, Germany is the strongest European powerwith high political influence. And leadership in various sectors of the economy, light, heavy industry, machine building, chemical production sets Germany apart from most European countries.

The euro is a veiled bondage for European countries

As practice shows, success cannot always be achieved by force of arms and economics alone. Germany learned from both defeats the necessary knowledge and understanding that need a new way of interacting with other countrieswhich would lead to similar results. However, it was necessary to restore the integrity of the country, which was done by the time of the collapse of the socialist system (the fall of the Berlin Wall, the unification of the GDR and the FRG). Few people know that attempts to restore integrity had been made before - just remember the series of rebellions in Eastern Europe (Czechoslovak Mutiny, Berlin Mutiny), which were brutally suppressed.

However, unification was still accomplished. It was then that Germany needed a new tool to put pressure on the rest of the European countries. And what is the easiest way to achieve a result if war makes no sense? The answer is simple: economically. It's enough to make everyone officially recognized Germany as the leader, the locomotive of the European economy and entrusted her with the finances.

By gaining access to finance through the creation of a single currency, Germany gained An unprecedented instrument to influence all EU members. Formally, the euro began to be printed in different countries (different bills, coins, etc.), but it was not immediately clear to everyone that the single currency became not a counterweight dollarbut rather a bondage, very cleverly veiled.

Think about it, what good is a country's currency if it can't do anything with it? After all, no one has ever canceled inflation, even in Europe. In addition, different countries have different economic potential, not all of them have a strong industrial component. But Euros, as it initially appeared, equalized everyone. It turns out that, at its core. It is Germany that is responsible for pricing in the EU. And everyone is forced to accept it, as it is no longer easy to give up the euro.

One by one, European countries began to fall into the crisis situations, most of which are based on only one cause - the euro. Greece, Spain, Portugal, and Cyprus are facing it. Italy, whose national debt is actively growing, may still face it.

European puppeteer

And in the shadow of the euro is Germany, without which nothing can be done in Europe now. During the Greek crisis, German Chancellor Angela Merkel flew to Greece to discuss how to resolve the current situation. She was met with a very active welcome - the demonstrators asked her to get out and blamed Germany for their problem. Apparently, there is a great deal of truth in this.

The most likely view seems to be that Germany benefits from keeping countries within the EU and in the single currency area. If my calculations are correct, the next obvious move will involve Greece, which, after buying up gold for 4 months, is preparing to leave the EU, because for it is the only true option for continuing to be economically independent. Gold is needed to strengthen the national currency - previously it was drachmas.

The most likely outcome may be the following: by the time Greece is ready to leave the EU, Germany will have forced Central Banks EU countries to engage in active gold sales to reduce its value. If gold loses value, more of it is needed. At the same time, it is likely that new economic measures will be applied to Greece. Perhaps even in ultimatum form. And Germany has all the levers for this.

Despite the fact that the events of the 19th and 20th centuries are far behind us, for some, in essence, nothing has changed. Only the methods have changed, the goal remains the same.

 

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