Stock market: New Year traps and gaps
My dear novice traders, unfortunately, I am becoming more and more convinced that personal experience in the stock market, not passed through the prism of statistics, is a great evil.
3 days: ruble, "shorts", gaps
The day before yesterday a potential client called and told me how cool his first trade on the dollar was, from 41 rubles to 68. He wants to get into currency again, ignoring the fact that since 1997, investing in the dollar has been the worst investment idea ever. Yes, yes! And in general, buying currency is an exchange transaction, not an investment.
Yesterday a lady informed me that telling newcomers about "shorts" is not allowed, as she lost, on "shorts" 50% capital. Unfortunately, during the hour-long conversation she did not seem to realize that she lost not because the "shorts" were bad, but because she started speculating with money she should not have risked at all, and even overstayed her position. The root of the evil turned out to be the unfree and uncomfortable amount of money, not the extra knowledge.
Today my dear and obedient clients of the advisory support group are acting up. They all seem to be so agreeable to medium-term portfolios, they all know the rules - they are all excellent students! But before the new year, there was turmoil in our ranks as well: we have dozens of trap orders to buy shares, and traders are afraid to leave them on the New Year's Eve. You never know what the New Year's Eve "New Year's Eve" will bring.gaps"! Between holidays, when the plants are standing still, I am also against trading. But orders, the purpose of which when executed will please us for many months, because of a couple of weeks of holidays, I think, that it is not necessary to remove.
Stock market gaps in statistics
The gaps, of course, I counted for you on some securities. This is done elementary: you can unload the data from the terminal in Excel, and you can directly in the trading terminal "Tranzac" to use the function "ruler", which has the ability to determine the percentage change.
I remember the terrible gaps of 2006, when for the first time the government gave us a ten-day insane vacation. And if I had relied only on that experience, I would have missed many profitable years. After all, a portfolio is often assembled at the end of the year and the beginning of a new one, which will make a safety cushion for the entire year. You could say it creates a security cushion, a pledge of superiority of our trading over the bank deposit.
So, don't trust memory and experience - write it down and count it!
I don't feel like working at all... I feel like on New Year's Eve I stopped understanding the market.
To each his own, of course - Caesar the Caesar. I'm still afraid to leave an application for 10 days, especially in the current unstable conditions. There is little chance that Russia will start a war with someone else. Or suddenly something will explode somewhere wrong...
Add ten more days before New Year's and you can't go wrong. When all you can think about is holiday preparations, you just can't analyze the stock market.
It is not the stability of the currency and the country's crises makes a lot of times to think things over before deciding on a new step. And since people have always managed to "cheat" others, it remains to wish you successful transactions and easy zarobotavki without deception.
I prefer not to trade between December 20 and January 15. I take a "vacation". The market behaves unpredictably on these days and it is better to wait.
I agree! Still, if you know how to make money. Of course, it will take time to learn the nuances, but the basic principles of trading will be the same. So, you can still make some good money on such days...
It's a good advice, but it's better to check its validity only by analyzing the market, remaining in these days only as an outside observer. Risks at this time are higher than ever, and plus the current unstable situation is not good for you. It's better to really take a New Year's vacation and just watch the markets, like an ordinary man in the street, but making reasonable conclusions.
It's an interesting statistic, but last New Year's Eve, only three companies out of seven went up in stock.
It seems to me just the right time to invest, the main thing is to do them with a sober head, not under the fumes of alcohol.
I agree, it is extremely difficult to work without statistical data.
And I would also add past experiences, and it doesn't have to be my own.