Technical analysis
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With this article we conclude our brief tour of interesting and popular candlestick patterns for technical market analysis. The 31 patterns we showed in the three articles perfectly reflect the capabilities of candlestick analysis. With a little effort from this information you can put together a whole strategy, write an EA and trade quite successfully in intraday or medium term. Of course, we could not accommodate all the possibilities for trading based on a candlestick analysis, but we have tried to give you not only descriptions, but also market opportunities for using patterns. A slightly more detailed description can be easily found on the Internet, add it to the Money Management and test it. Go ahead! We are happy to answer your questions. Pivot Patterns.
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In the 97th issue of ForTrader.org we will continue to look at interesting candlestick patterns and technical analysis of the market. In our previous article we already discussed how to trade by means of the candlestick analysis, and how to use it in practice every day with profit, so we will not repeat it. Let's look at 10 more interesting patterns from the economic side of their appearance and practical application in trading, which you will be able to use today. New Patterns Before we begin, we'd like to address the question of whether you can find your own new patterns on the chart? We can say from our rather rich experience that yes,...
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The "Baskerville Dog" trend continuation pattern was first mentioned by the financial markets legend Alexander Elder in his book "The Fundamentals of Trading". The figure is quite widespread and, in fact, is a failed "Head and Shoulders" trend reversal figure. In the technical analysis of the market it is accepted to consider the "Hound of the Baskervilles" as the figure of the trend continuation, although most market researchers do not include it in the list of classical figures of the trend continuation: flag, wedge, triangle, etc. How is the "Hound of the Baskervilles" figure built on As mentioned above, the "Hound of the Baskervilles" figure of technical analysis is a failed "Head and Shoulders" trend reversal figure. Head and shoulders" figure indicates the end of the uptrend, its reversal and, as a consequence, the opening of the...
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"Cup with handle" in technical analysis is a trend continuation pattern. This pattern was introduced and popularized by the famous American trader William O'Neill and came to the foreign exchange market from the stock market. The appearance of this candlestick pattern is really reminiscent of a cup of coffee or tea, which probably every trader has next to the keyboard. It should be noted right away that the "Cup with a pen" is a continuation pattern only for an uptrend. Let's break down the conditions for the emergence of this candlestick analysis pattern, ways to use it in trading, as well as some features. The most important condition for the formation of a "Cup with a Handle" trend continuation pattern is the presence of...
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A "bow tie" trend reversal pattern is not an ordinary pattern, as it is based not on a repeating stable price pattern with a predictable development, as in most widely used patterns, but on a model formed by technical indicators. More precisely, it is a pattern formed by the intersection of three moving averages. Exactly this feature gives the "Bow Tie" pattern one very important advantage - it's the ability to easily and unambiguously determine this pattern, which is especially important for beginners who do not have much experience with patterns. We can consider the "Bow Tie" pattern as an example of a trading strategy using moving averages. Rules of constructing "Bow Tie" pattern The "Bow Tie" pattern owes its name to the intersection of...
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Head and shoulders is a classic figure of technical analysis, which signals the reversal of the current trend. The Head and shoulders figure exists in two variants: "Head and shoulders" - for an uptrend, inverted or reversed head and shoulders - for a downtrend. It should also be noted that Double Top and Triple Top are the special cases of Head and Shoulders figures. It should be noted that in spite of the fact that this figure is a classic one, its formation is rather conventional. It means that different traders may build the same Head and shoulders a bit differently depending on chosen timeframe and their understanding of currency mechanisms.
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It is possible to make money in the Forex currency market with the help of various strategies. Some traders develop trading systems based on technical analysis, others stick to fundamental views. Someone combines both types of analysis and tries to realize an ideal model. For the last several years trading robots based on certain algorithms are gaining popularity. But there are some traders who trade only on the Carry Trade strategy. What is this trading tactic and what are the pitfalls? Let's consider it in details. Carry trade is the game based on the difference of interest rates of central banks Carry trade enjoys great popularity among both non-professional participants of the currency market and institutional investors. This can be explained by...
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The pattern "Dragon" is one of the "exotic" varieties of reversal patterns in the market and, to be exact, is a more modified version of the pattern "Double bottom", at the same time it signals about the change of bearish market to bullish one. Correspondingly, "Inverse Dragon" pattern is formed when the growing trend is over and the market starts its decline. Signals of the inverse pattern are similar to the signals during the formation of the pattern "Double top". How is the pattern "Dragon" formed on the price chart? The pattern "Dragon" is formed in a falling market. Its formation begins with the Head (1). It represents the local maximum of the upward correction in a falling market. After the formation of the Head of the Dragon pattern, the market continues to fall, as a result of which the price chart...
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The proverb "Haste makes history" also applies to the stock market. Let me illustrate this with a live example. Sberbank's live "head" At the moment, an inverted "head and shoulders" pattern is forming on the chart of Sberbank's common stock. Other articles from the "Stock Market. The "Diamond" or "Rhombus" pattern: dangerous signal for traders The "widening formation" pattern teaches to relax A little more about TA figures: "triangle" or "head and shoulders"? "Flags" and "pennants": a pattern analysis peculiarities. Should we be tempted by the falling Russian stocks? Despite the fact that the figure has not yet completed the drawing of its second "shoulder", not to mention the breakdown of the "neck line",...
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As I promised last time, today I will tell you what happens when an insidious "expanding formation" pattern merges with an equally insidious "symmetrical triangle" pattern as part of my study of classical technical analysis for the stock market. But it's simple: there appears a rare and little-studied on the daily data of the Russian stocks "Diamond" or Rhombus trend reversal pattern. Figure "Diamond" - the rules of formation The figure "Diamond" is a strange figure, because the process of its formation takes a long time. Russian shares quotations are too emotional to stay in a limited range for a long time. In classical technical analysis literature you can see not only the terms of formation and description of "Diamond" and "Rhombus" figures, but also find out...
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Last time we discussed the magic of the Triangle pattern on the daily charts as part of our study of the application of technical analysis to Russian securities. In this article, I'm going to tell you what happens when a triangle starts to build from the "apex" instead of the "base" and forms into an "Expanding Formation" pattern. As usual, I'm not going to rewrite the book's wisdom, rather we'll immediately compare the theory with reality. The Expanding Formation pattern is not for speculation! You don't have to go far to get an example of the Expanding Formation pattern. It is on the daily chart of the most popular Sberbank stock from the beginning of 2013. The mistake many traders make is trying to trade on the basis of this pattern. On the...
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According to the plan of our training course, we should move on to the study of technical indicators and their application, but the other day I came across an interesting chart that makes me return to the topic of classical technical analysis and, in particular, to the model of uncertainty - the "Triangle" pattern. The reversal power of the "Symmetrical Triangle" pattern Analysts and stock coaches are often accused of showing only historical summaries. Today we have the opportunity to observe the technical analysis figure "Triangle" in dynamics. In free access you can find articles substantiating the reversal power of the "Symmetrical Triangle" figure for Russian popular securities. I "made friends" with these figures long ago, back in December 2007.....
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Let's continue to get acquainted with graphical technical analysis. Last time we talked about big formations - trend reversal patterns. Today I will tell you about the peculiarities of trend continuation patterns - "Flags" and "Pennants". Figures "Flag" and "Pennant". - Uncomfortable sideways The "Flag" and "Pennant" figures can be formed both after a rise and after a fall. There is often a question about the interpretation of these figures of technical analysis, because it is easy to confuse them in the process of their formation. I never try to determine on a live chart in the moment, which is forming now - the "Flag" or the "Pennant"? I start from the philosophy of formation of these figures. "Flag" or "Pennant" - is a tedious little sideways pattern in which...
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One of the most recent harmonic patterns that have been discovered relatively recently is the "5-0" harmonic pattern. С. Kornei published the first materials on this development in 2004-2005. This pattern, as well as all its "colleagues", can be used absolutely on any markets because of its construction on the basis of Fibonacci levels, which describe almost everything in this world. Description of the harmonic pattern "5-0" Let's describe the main characteristics of the pattern: the formation of the pattern "5-0" begins with a weak movement in the form of the AB segment at the end of the previous bearish trend. The point B should be located not above the level of 161.8% from the movement 0X. The impulse BC relative to the segment AB should be organized in the range from...
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Gartley's harmonic pattern "Three Movements" is a fairly well-known pattern in the circles of stock analysts and speculators, who in solving the problem of determining trading objectives give greater preference to the means and methods of technical analysis. Description of the harmonic pattern "Three Movements" In the empirical Elliott wave theory, the analog of this pattern is defined as a "diagonal triangle". Also, many people are probably familiar with Linda Raschke's "three Indians". In harmonic trading formats, we will consider this pattern, taking into account the Fibonacci ratios. In the fibo-parameters of the classical variant of the considered harmonic pattern "Three Movements" the following laws are stipulated: price movements 2 and 3 should end at the projections 1.2 or 1.618. Pullbacks of movements 1 and 2 should end at the levels 61.8%....
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Simple graphical models on and stock exchanges allow not only to get an idea of possible change of moods of participants of market battles, but also to reveal their preferences. This is achieved by joint analysis of volume and price dynamics. The most simple example is the formation of the "Dodgy" pattern on the chart, which characterizes the uncertainty of investors as to whether the current trend will continue. As a rule, it is associated with ambiguous news background or expectations of important events, in anticipation of which the market freezes, preferring to play the facts rather than rumors. As a result, there is a semblance of balance on the chart, which is reflected in the close proximity of the closing and opening prices. According to the researchers,...
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No matter how many recommendations a trader has heard regarding the advisability of trading in the direction of a trend, he will sooner or later be drawn to look for a trend reversal. And it is not surprising, because successful identification will allow not only to maximize profits by opening a position at the very beginning of the emerging trend, but also to evaluate all the charms of position trading. Searching for trend reversal points A successful long-term trade will allow you to forget for a while about the need to search for new favorable opportunities on a daily basis and surrender to the elements of the market, guided by one single principle: "let profits grow". In this regard, many famous traders have repeatedly tried to develop the concept of reversal. Who does not remember the principles of trend reversal on the pattern "1-2-3" of Victor Sperandeo, or...
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Темой лекции сегодня будет гармонический паттерн Гартли, который достаточно редко встречается на рынке — модель «Краб». Гармонический паттерн «Краб» был открыт относительно недавно, в 2000 году, но успел завоевать особую популярность среди приверженцев гармонического анализа . Описание гармонического паттерна «Краб» Сравнивая его с гармоническим паттерном «Бабочка Пасавенто», можно определить основное отличие, — относительно небольшая амплитуда отрезка АВ, который в «Крабе» не должен быть более 61,8% от высоты луча ХА. Наиболее оптимальный вариантом будет значение в области 38,2% или 50%. Основным и обязательным условием образования гармонического паттерна «Краб» является высота точки D — она должна находиться на уровне 161.8% движения ХА. Фибо параметры…
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Continuing the theme of the previous articles, I would like to tell you about one more Gartley harmonic pattern, which is less common than the others, which is compensated by increased accuracy in predicting market entry points. Gartley's harmonic pattern "Bat" was discovered and mathematically described in 2001 by Scott Carney. Description of the Gartley's Bat Harmonic Pattern The appearance of the Bat Harmonic Pattern resembles the Gartley's Butterfly pattern, their difference is in the proportions of the "wings". The main and obligatory condition of this pattern is the retracement 0.886 from the XA movement, which is the main element to determine the Potential Pivot Zone (PPZ). The preferred parameters of the other sectors of the pattern have more maneuverability in their values: retracement at point B from...
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В данной статье я предлагаю вам рассмотреть такую замечательную гармоническую модель Гартли , как «Бабочка Пасавенто». Гармонический паттерн «Бабочка Пасавенто» был открыт учениками и последователями Гарольда Гартли – Джил Мур и Гарри Пасавенто и является идеальной моделью паттерна «Бабочка Гартли». Основные характеристики паттерна «Бабочка Пасавенто» по уровням Фибоначчи Формирование вершины B на уровне 78.6% от отрезка XA — самый основной непоколебимый и наиболее эмпирически проверенный уровень для данной вершины в идеальной модели Бабочки Гартли. Конечно, иногда допускаются и другие вариации расположения данной точки, но такие сигналы весьма и весьма сомнительны, потому их лучше игнорировать. Формирование вершины С допускается к уровням 38.2%, 61.8% и 78.6% от…
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