FORTRADER #101. January at . No distractions
In January we start posting our issue a little later (although you could already see the first articles with forecasts for January 2016 on the website), when all the holidays are over and activity in the market slowly comes back to normal.
It must be said that this year there was not particularly a feeling that traders were detached from trading. If 3 years ago the charts were quite jagged, with peaks and high shadows, now there is nothing like that. The markets are moving under the influence of currency games, oil wars and crisis situations, not distracted by Olivier...
In our 101st issue of Traders magazine we will talk about the earning opportunities in January 2016. Forecasts, analytics and lectures will cover the main current issues for both beginners and practitioners. And, of course, every day we will look for successful points to enter the markets in our analytical blocks.
Have a successful trading January!
Regards, Julia Apel
ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE 101ST ISSUE OF FORTRADER FOREX MAGAZINE
1. THE FUTURE OF THE OIL MARKET: $200/BARREL WON'T BE A BAILOUT?!
Roman Kravchenko, an analyst at ForTrader.org, talks about the prospects for the oil market and the ruble exchange rate.
To summarize, we return to the key problem that experts have been talking about for many years - the dependence of the Russian economy on oil exports. Strong attachment to this source of income and unwillingness to see clear changes and their consequences aggravate the situation both economically and politically. If the situation does not change radically in the near future, no "rebound" and prices even of $200/bbl, alas, will be a salvation for the Russian economy. What is needed are investments in the conquest of new markets and industries, successes that will raise the country's prestige and confidence in the ruble.
2. FOREX WAVE ANALYSIS FOR JANUARY: THERE ARE OPPORTUNITIES TO MAKE MONEY!
Market wave forecast for January with signals for euro, pound and yen from Admiral Markets.
As for the wave analysis, he believes that the support of 120.50 USD/JPY will not be taken, and the pair, pushing away from this level, will rush to 123.50. The global uptrend is still formally alive, though clearly old, and there is no potential for its resuscitation.
The medium-term cycles speak in favor of buying, but the short-term cycles are neutral and suggest a continuation of the flat.
In none of the scenarios any further (serious) strengthening of the yen is planned. So the USD/JPY looks extremely attractive in terms of buying with targets of 200-300 pips.
3. THE 5 MOST IMPORTANT FINANCIAL EVENTS OF JANUARY 2016
On the most important events of December with Vladimir Kont, an expert of FORTRADER magazine.
So far, there are no serious changes in the monetary policy of any of these four regulators.
It is clear that the Fed will not raise rates for a second month in a row, but the rhetoric could steer the U.S. dollar one way or another.
As for the RBNZ, we can expect either another rate cut or very soft rhetoric, through which the regulator will try to put pressure on the New Zealand dollar...
4. THINKING STRATEGIES OF RICH AND POOR PEOPLE: CHOOSING SOME AND NOT CHOOSING OTHERS
What to read in January? Exchange Literature.
Poor people think in terms of "later. Rich people think in terms of determination. Saidmurod Davlatov
What is the book "Strategies of Thinking Rich and Poor: Choosing Some and Not Choosing Others" about
About how to radically change your attitudes in life, how to turn success to your face and stop thinking about possible failures. After all, life - the materialization of our thoughts and desires that are able to elevate us to the luxury or, conversely, to lower the level of poverty.
5. USD/JPY CURRENCY PAIR FORECAST FOR JANUARY: IN FREE FALL?
Forecast of the Japanese yen exchange rate in December from the experts of Fort Financial Services.
The USD/JPY market is extremely emotional right now. The consequences of a pass below JPY118.60 on Thursday, January 7, and then below the last significant support around JPY118, could be unpredictable.
Further support is located around 116-115.82. The geopolitical tension in the region also plays into the hands of the speculators, who are selling the Yen now. However if the situation in China and the news background loses the tension, the divergence of the monetary policies of the US Fed and the BoJ will take the pair to the area of JPY120, and it might happen very fast.
6. TRADING IDEAS FOR 2016: 5 PROFITABLE DEALS FOR THE TRADER!
О возможных удачных сделках на в 2016 году с Сергеем Кочергиным, экспертом ГК “EXNESS”.
Fifth, the foreign policy of the world's largest economy will depend on who becomes the next U.S. president - a representative of the Democratic or Republican Party, which will also have a major impact on its domestic processes.
After the U.S. election, gold prices, acting as a protective asset, could rise to the level of $1,200. The price of the precious metal can be considered from the level of $1,000 to the level of $1,000.
7. U.S. INTEREST RATES COULD BE RAISED AS EARLY AS MARCH!
On the Fed's monetary policy, the analytical department of IFC Markets.
There are currently no signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, so the benchmark personal consumption expenditures price index should follow the benchmark consumer price index, which reached 2% in November. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is sure to show growth over the next three months, and it is likely that the Federal Open Market Committee will decide to raise interest rates another 25 basis points at its March 18-19 meeting.
8. CAN THE CRISIS IN CHINA AFFECT THE DECISIONS OF THE U.S. FDC?
On the crisis in China and its implications for the U.S. with the analytical department of JustForex.
The Chinese authorities are trying to stop the further fall of the yuan: the country is selling foreign securities, including U.S. Treasury bonds, and buying its own currency, the consequences of which are the opposite of the effect of quantitative easing. Accordingly, China to some extent determines the course of the Fed's monetary policy. The Fed's leadership should be careful about the possibility of tightening its monetary policy, as it could have a negative impact on the U.S. economy as well.
Given that the national currencies of the countries, major players in the financial markets, will be under constant pressure due to the current situation on the stock exchanges, volatility on the market could grow considerably.
9. $24/BARREL - UNOPTIMISTIC BUT REALISTIC OIL FORECAST FOR JANUARY
Рынок нефти в январе. Прогноз от главного аналитика компании “Альпари” Анны Бодровой.
At the beginning of 2016, oil prices went to their lows of twelve years. These are not at all the values that oil producers would like to see, but they are to blame, too.
Massive risk hedging, including the use of options, has played its role both at the level of states and oil companies. By January 14, 2016, a barrel of North Sea Brent oil was able to touch a low of $29.94. This fact opens all doors for the "bears" who see a target at $24 - this level is a multi-year support.
10. "JANUARY BAROMETER: TODAY WE MAKE A FORECAST FOR THE WHOLE YEAR!
Исследование для фондового рынка России с Юлией Афанасьевой, аналитиком компании “Финам”.
For example, traders have a belief that Positive close of January - it's the key to a profitable year. They even invented such an indicator - "January Barometer". R. Colby describes it in his book "Encyclopedia of Technical Indicators". Also read the current statistics of the indicator for foreign markets you can online The creator of the popular stock almanac, Yale Hirsch. I highly recommend to use at least the free trial access to the almanac, it is a source of great inspiration. After all, the indicators it contains can be calculated for our stock market as well.
11. SEASONAL SPREAD TRADING: "LIGHT SWIFT - GASOLINE" UNTIL MARCH WITH THE EXPECTATION OF $ 8400 PROFIT
About spread trading with Leonid Borsky, a practicing trader.
Not bad numbers, especially in the last five and a decade! In the last five years, all such annual pair entries from January 19-20 to March 10-14 have been profitable. And the average annual profit for those five years was about $ 8400 per contract (lot) of the CL-XRB spread. In the last ten years there were nine profitable paired sales.
However, we should also note the rather large drawdowns (column DD - DrawDown), which also took place every year.
12. 10 WORKING METHODS FOR 100% HOW TO STOP BEING A LOSER
Sometimes, by the way, the opportunity to compare yourself to someone creates a positive motivation, but you have to understand that there is a difference between comparing yourself to a friend, a classmate, or, for example, to Oleg Deripaska. Think about it, where is Oleg and where are we? 🙂 What's the point of peer-to-peer with the oligarch?
We all have different potential, and in order to feel happy, I do not need the exploits of Angelina Jolie, the image of a successful friend is enough for me as an example. At the same time I need him as an example and support, not as an object of envy. If I copy the actions of a worthy person, this is the way of a happy person, and if I do nothing but envy and grumble, then I am a loser.
13. HOW TO SPEED UP THE METATRADER 4 TERMINAL IN 5 MINUTES?
The secrets of working with MetaTrader 4 from Roman Kravchenko.
Every trader knows that the MetaTrader 4 trading platform is periodically updated. Undoubtedly there are positive moments in it, but today let's talk about the disadvantages of such updates.
With each new version MetatTrader 4 becomes "heavier" and more demanding to computer resources. And if a trader uses the built-in strategy tester to test indicators and trading experts, the "weight" of MT4 can reach ten or more gigabytes.
All these problems lead to the fact that the trading terminal often freezes and slows down, taking up unacceptably much space on the hard drive.
How do you deal with it? How to speed up MetaTrader 4? Here are some simple tips on how to clean your MetaTrader 4 terminal to speed up its operation.
14. BINARY OPTIONS PLATFORM. WEB TERMINAL FOR MOBILE TRADERS
Web platform for binary options. Instructions for use.
The development of web technologies makes it possible to create online platforms that are almost as good as their desktop counterparts. At the same time, they lack the main disadvantage of application programs - the need to install and maintain the current version on each of your devices. In turn, you can access the terminal from almost any device via a browser.
A web platform for binary options is a single workspace where your trading history is always synchronized and all important data is located on remote servers. Let's look at the capabilities of modern web platforms using several brokerage companies as an example.
15. ISHIMOKU SCALPING TRADING STRATEGY: SCALPING BASED ON ISHIMOKU INDICATOR
The trading strategy of the room.
Ishimoku Scalping trading strategy - is a scalping adapted trend trading strategy Ishimoku System, which is built on the signals of the Ishimoku indicator in conjunction with oscillators and Bollinger Bands. Since this is a scalping strategy, it is recommended to use currency pairs with the lowest spread.
Комментарии ( 12 )
As usual, oil pressure is affecting many markets.
Which once again shows that it is dangerous to be a commodity economy.
I'll wait for the January issue, I want to hear what they have to say about options.
Главный вопрос остается как обычно – что будет с рублем, и как низко упадет нефть.
А вот представьте Казахстан чисто на нефти сидит,а она дешевеет – какое там будет далее положение?
I think that the limit of the fall is as close as possible to its finale, because there is nowhere else to go. If the downward trend continues, Russia's economy will be on the verge of survival, and I am sure that the head of the Russian state will not allow this to happen.
The Fed is not going to touch the rate at all, they are just manipulating it on purpose.
It's an interesting situation with Yena, the correction is clearly visible.
Sergei does a great job of talking about possible deals, it was a pleasure to read.
The war in Syria is dragging the price of oil down as well, so as long as the war continues to take innocent lives, there will continue to be unstable fluctuations in the price per barrel.
Interesting reasoning about China, but I don't think it puts that much pressure on the Fed.
I thought I knew everything about the MT4 terminal, but no, I learned new information.